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This case study analyzes and
compares 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 10 point wide credit spreads on the SPY. The
SPY is an ETF that tracks at 1/10th the value of the S&P 500 index. We
make the case that the 2 point credit spread usually provides the best
returns if we don't anticipate the need to make a lot of adjustments during
the month. However, if we are early in the cycle (a full cycle is
typically 25 to 40 days) and if we believe we'll need more flexibility to
make adjustments during the month, we'll then use the 3 point credit spread.
Here are the assumptions used when
making our calculations:
1) Commission = $1/options contract or $2/spread. (we show additional
commission rates in the chart below)
2) $5000 of cash is available to open the spreads
3) The trade stays out-of-the-money (OTM) and profitable, and we let the spread
expire worthless, which is 100% profitable for us, the seller. Thus, we
only pay commission to open the spreads and we call this "one-way" commissions.
(in contrast to round-trip commissions where we pay to open and close the
trades)
4) All spreads have 31 days until expiration
5) We simplify the number of spreads that we can open by dividing the available
$5000 of cash by the required maintenance.
Below is the SPY
Aug 89/90 bull put spread which has the following characteristics:
1) It's a 1 point
spread (i.e. 1 point between the sell leg and the buy leg)
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $100 per spread (1 point spread * $100/point)
3) 50 spreads can
be opened ($5000/$100 of required maintenance per spread)
4) Premium
collected is $15 credit x 50 spreads = $750
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $750 of premium collected = $4250
6) One-way
commission at $1/contract is 50 spreads x $2/spread = $100.
7) Commission as a
% of premium collected is 100/750 = 13.3%
8) ROI after
one-way commission is (750-100)/4250 = 15.3%

Below is the SPY
Aug 88/90 bull put spread which has the following characteristics:
1) It's a 2 point
spread (i.e. 2 points between the sell leg and the buy leg)
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $200 per spread (2 point spread * $100/point)
3) 25 spreads can
be opened ($5000/$200 required maintenance per spread)
4) Premium
collected is $25 credit x 25 spreads = $625
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $625 of premium collected = $4375
6) One-way
commission at $1/contract is 25 spreads x $2/spread = $50.
7) One-way
Commission as a % of premium collected is 50/625 = 8%
8) Return after
one-way commission is (625-50)/4375 = 13.1%

Below is the SPY
Aug 87/90 bull put spread which has the following characteristics:
1) It's a 3 point
spread
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $300 per spread
3) 16 spreads can
be opened ($5000/$300)
4) Premium
collected is $35 credit x 16 spreads = $560
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $560 of premium collected = $4440
6) One-way
commission is 16 spreads x $2/spread = $32.
7) One-way
commission as a % of premium collected is 32/560 = 5.7%
8) Return after
one-way commission is (560 - 32)/4440 = 11.8%

Below is the SPY
Aug 86/90 bull put spread which has the following characteristics:
1) It's a 4 point
spread
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $400 per spread
3) 12 spreads can
be opened ($5000/$400)
4) Premium
collected is $44 credit x 12 spreads = $528
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $528 of premium collected = $4472
6) One-way
commission is 12 spreads x $2/spread = $24.
7) One-way
commission as a % of premium collected is 24/528 = 4.5%
8) Return after
one-way commission is (528 - 24)/4472 = 11.2%

Below is the SPY Aug 85/90 bull put
spread with the following characteristics:
1) It's a 5 point
spread
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $500 per spread
3) 10 spreads can
be opened
4) Premium
collected is $50 credit x 10 spreads = $500
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $500 of premium collected = $4500
6) One-way
commission is 10 spreads x $2/spread = $20
7) One-way
commission as a % of premium collected is 20/500 = 4%
8) Return after
one-way commission is (500 - 20)/4500 = 10.6%

Below is the SPY Aug 83/90 bull put
spread with the following characteristics:
1) It's a 7 point
spread
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $700 per spread
3) 7 spreads can be
opened ($5000/$700 required maintenance per spread)
4) Premium
collected is $58 credit x 7 spreads = $406
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $406 of premium collected = $4594
6) One-way
commission is 7 spreads x $2/spread = $14
7) One-way
commission as a % of premium collected is 14/406 = 3.4%
8) Return after
commission is (406 - 14)/4594 = 8.5%

Below is the SPY Aug 80/90 bull put
spread with the following characteristics:
1) It's a 10 point
spread
2) Required
maintenance by the broker is $1000 per spread
3) 5 spreads can be
opened
4) Premium
collected is $65 credit x 5 spreads = $325
5) Risk capital is
$5000 in maintenance - $325 of premium collected = $4675
6) One-way
commission is 5 spreads x $2/spread = $10
7) One-way
commission as a % of premium collected is 10/325 = 3%
8) Return after
one-way commission is (325 - 10)/4675 = 6.7%

Below is a grid that summarizes our analysis - if you would like access to this
spreadsheet, please contact us at
support@monthlycashthruoptions
and we'll forward it to you.
credit spread point
width (diff. between buy & sell legs) |
# of credit spreads that can be opened with "cash avail to trade"
variable |
Req'd Maint
Per spread |
Credit premium per spread (from risk/reward charts above) |
Total premium collected when opening the credit spreads |
Total Risk Capital (req. maint. less total premium collected) |
ROI
with
1-way Comm Rate 1 |
ROI
with
1-way Comm
Rate 2 |
ROI
with
1-way Comm Rate 3 |
ROI with
1-way Comm Rate 4 |
ROI
with Round
-trip Comm Rate 1 |
ROI
with Round
-trip Comm Rate 2 |
ROI
with Round
-trip Comm Rate 3 |
ROI
with Round
-trip Comm Rate 4 |
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1 |
50 |
$100 |
$15 |
$750 |
$4,250 |
16.0% |
15.3% |
14.1% |
17.4% |
14.4% |
12.9% |
10.6% |
17.2% |
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2 |
25 |
$200 |
$25 |
$625 |
$4,375 |
13.5% |
13.1% |
12.6% |
14.1% |
12.7% |
12.0% |
10.9% |
13.8% |
|
3 |
17 |
$300 |
$35 |
$583 |
$4,417 |
12.7% |
12.5% |
12.1% |
13.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
10.9% |
12.8% |
|
4 |
13 |
$400 |
$44 |
$550 |
$4,450 |
12.0% |
11.8% |
11.5% |
12.1% |
11.6% |
11.2% |
10.7% |
11.9% |
|
5 |
10 |
$500 |
$50 |
$500 |
$4,500 |
10.8% |
10.7% |
10.4% |
10.9% |
10.5% |
10.2% |
9.8% |
10.7% |
|
7 |
7 |
$700 |
$58 |
$414 |
$4,586 |
8.8% |
8.7% |
8.6% |
8.8% |
8.6% |
8.4% |
8.1% |
8.6% |
|
10 |
5 |
$1,000 |
$65 |
$325 |
$4,675 |
6.8% |
6.7% |
6.6% |
6.7% |
6.7% |
6.5% |
6.3% |
6.5% |
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credit spread point width (diff. between buy & sell legs) |
1-way Comm
Rate 1 |
1-way Comm Rate 2 |
1-way Comm
Rate 3 |
1-way Comm Rate 4 |
Round
-trip
Comm Rate 1 |
Round
-trip Comm Rate 2 |
Round
-trip Comm Rate 3 |
Round
-trip Comm Rate 4 |
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1 |
$70 |
$100 |
$150 |
$10 |
$140 |
$200 |
$300 |
$20 |
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2 |
$35 |
$50 |
$75 |
$10 |
$70 |
$100 |
$150 |
$20 |
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3 |
$23 |
$33 |
$50 |
$10 |
$47 |
$67 |
$100 |
$20 |
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4 |
$18 |
$25 |
$38 |
$10 |
$35 |
$50 |
$75 |
$20 |
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5 |
$14 |
$20 |
$30 |
$10 |
$28 |
$40 |
$60 |
$20 |
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7 |
$10 |
$14 |
$21 |
$10 |
$20 |
$29 |
$43 |
$20 |
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10 |
$7 |
$10 |
$15 |
$10 |
$14 |
$20 |
$30 |
$20 |
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credit spread point
width (diff. between buy & sell legs) |
Comm
as % of collected premium
1-way
Rate 1 |
Comm as % of collected premium 1-way Rate 2 |
Comm
as % of collected premium 1-way
Rate 3 |
Comm
as % of collected premium 1-way Rate 4 |
Comm
as % of collected premium round-
trip
Rate 1 |
Comm
as % of collected premium round-
trip
Rate 2 |
Comm
as % of collected premium round-
trip
Rate 3 |
Comm
as % of collected premium round-
trip
Rate 3
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1 |
9.3% |
13.3% |
20.0% |
1.3% |
18.7% |
26.7% |
40.0% |
2.7% |
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2 |
5.6% |
8.0% |
12.0% |
1.6% |
11.2% |
16.0% |
24.0% |
3.2% |
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3 |
4.0% |
5.7% |
8.6% |
1.7% |
8.0% |
11.4% |
17.1% |
3.4% |
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4 |
3.2% |
4.5% |
6.8% |
1.8% |
6.4% |
9.1% |
13.6% |
3.6% |
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5 |
2.8% |
4.0% |
6.0% |
2.0% |
5.6% |
8.0% |
12.0% |
4.0% |
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7 |
2.4% |
3.4% |
5.2% |
2.4% |
4.8% |
6.9% |
10.3% |
4.8% |
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10 |
2.2% |
3.1% |
4.6% |
3.1% |
4.3% |
6.2% |
9.2% |
6.2% |
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Variables |
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Cash available for trade |
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$5,000 |
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Commission Rate 1 per contract |
$0.70 |
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Commission Rate 2 per contract |
$1.00 |
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Commission Rate 3 per contract |
$1.50 |
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Commission Rate 4 (flat rate) |
$10.00 |
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Conclusion: From the analysis above, the 2 point wide credit spread
provides the highest return, but commissions can be a problem if one pays more
than $1/option contract. When trading 2 point wide credit spreads it's
best to find the lowest cost broker. When we are early in the cycle and
feel that we might need more flexibility to make adjustments during the month,
the 3 point spread is optimum. When we say that we need "flexibility" to
make adjustments, we mean that when the spread gets under pressure from a fast
moving underlying index (the SPY in this case) we implement the "stay ahead of
the wave" strategy by "clicking-up" or "clicking-down" our strike prices to move
further away from the underlying index and we open more spreads to bring in more
premium. If we use the 3 point spread we have the flexibility to
"click-UP/DOWN" 2 times if needed. For example, let's say we have a
SPY 90/93 bull put spread and 10 days after we open this spread the SPY
sells-off putting our 90/93 bull put spread under pressure. In this
situation, we would not yet close-out the SPY 90/93 spread but we would watch it
closely, and in parallel we would "stay ahead of the wave" and click-down a
strike to the SPY 89/92 bull put spread (in the same month) and open some to
continue to bring in premium. If we need to click-down again, we
have the flexibility to click-down one more time to the SPY 88/91 bull put
spread to allow us to keep bringing in premium. If we need to click down
even further, we won't be able to open the SPY 87/90 bull put spread until we
close-out the original SPY 90/93 bull put spread because the 90 strike overlaps
and will cancel each other out; however, this is ok because if the
underlying SPY is dropping this fast, and just by the fact that we've already
clicked down twice, we probably will need to close out the original SPY 90/93
anyway to cut our losses and to minimize any further downside. With this
said, and especially for bull put spreads, we would not engage in the "stay
ahead of the wave" strategy unless the market timing indicators were giving us
the green light that the economy and the market are "healthy" and therefore it's
ok to keep clicking down and bringing in premium. For more on how we
Market Time, please go to
WhyMarketTiming.htm. For more on the "staying ahead of the wave
strategy", please visit the
Learning
Center and read the entries "what if the market surges, how do we
protect ourselves"? and "what if the market crashes, how do we protect
ourselves?".
About The Author
Brad Reinard is Editor-in-Chief of Monthly Cash Thru Options LLC, a leading
index credit spread & iron condor options advisory newsletter, which has the
following track record: 92% 2009; 33% 2008; 63% 2007; 42% 2006; 50%
2005. For more information on the technical analysis that we perform on
the S&P 500 index, along with how-to-trade trading tips on iron condors
and credit spreads please visit
www.monthlycashthruoptions.com or call Brad directly toll-free at
877-248-7455. Monthly Cash Thru Options LLC is located in San Jose, California,
the heart of Silicon Valley.
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