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1. |
I am completely new to Options Trading. How do I learn
about them? |
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Many of our subscribers started out with little or no experience trading
options, and many started here at Monthly Cash Thru Options (MCTO) because we
make it easy for the beginner to learn credit spreads and iron condors. We
enjoy teaching, and we tell all and hide nothing when analyzing the markets and
building our options trades. There are about 10 major option trading
strategies and we primarily focus on two of them, non-directional credit spreads and a variant of credit
spreads called iron condors. Periodically we'll mix in directional strategies
comprising calls, puts and debit spreads when the market presents an
opportunity for high probability directional trades. However, we primarily focus on
non-directional credit spreads because they work day-in
and day-out and consistently make money. One recommended approach is to first
learn credit spreads by following our advisory. After about 9 months you'll start getting the hang of it, and at the same time you'll gain some
confidence because you'll probably be on track of hitting a 45% or more return
for the year. At this point, we would recommend to take an introductory
options course to learn more about the major trading strategies and to dig
deeper into the fundamentals of options; and in the mean time, you'll be making a
good monthly income trading credit spreads. Because we are very experienced with credit spreads and
we have already worked out the kinks, you won't have to "spin your
wheels" for many months or even years and lose money as you learn this strategy.
The first thing we recommend is to go to the MCTO Learning Center on this web
site and start studying the material. Next, sign-up for a free 30 day
trial. And then after opening your brokerage account, start small
with just one or two contracts (one contract requires $1000 in
maintenance; two contracts require $2000 in maintenance....etc). And then
keep following our trades and education until you begin to feel comfortable with
this strategy. Over time as you become more and more knowledgeable and
confident in writing index credit spreads, slowly increase your account size and
this will gradually increase your monthly income. As a result, you
will soon realize that you've discovered a new income
stream that you've never had before. For more on how to get started please
read Getting Started.
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2. |
I've never traded credit spreads & iron condors; why
should I put time into learning this strategy?
Please read
Top10Reasons.
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3. |
What is your ROI track record? And
how big are your losses when you have them? |
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The Monthly Cash Thru Options annual returns are
50% in 2005, 42% in 2006 and 63% in 2007 and 33% in 2008. Please go
to the ROI
Track Record Page
for more
on our returns. Another important question one should ask is...when we
have losses how big are they? And how many losing months do we have each
year? Because all index credit spread advisory services will have some
losing months each year, this is important information to have and to
understand. A losing month will also translate into a certain level of
anxiety for that particular month. The MCTO team only uses 90% probability
trades that help us keep our losses below 10% during our losing months.
Many of our competitors use 70% probability trades, and when the markets are
volatile, the 70% approach will have higher losses and usually more losing
months per year. For more information on this topic please read
90percentVs70percent. |
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4. |
You seem to have excellent consistent returns; how
do you do it? |
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The Monthly Cash Thru Options team spends a lot of time
watching macro level market and investor sentiment indicators, upcoming
announcements by the Federal Reserve & Treasury, and big-picture analysis of the
DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes to continuously monitor the health of the US
economy and the prevailing trend of the market. Armed with this
information, along with being patient to not jump into trades too quickly, we
can make better informed decisions on strike price selection and the timing of
our trades. Monitoring this type of information is called Market Timing
and we believe it's extremely important to help us maintain consistent returns
and to reduce our downside exposure when the indicators and overall health of
the economy start to look unhealthy. Most of our competitors do NOT
spend enough time, if any at all, on market timing, which impacts the
consistency of their returns and ultimately leads to periodic large losses. For more information please read
Why Market Timing is Important. |
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5. |
I would like to
talk to you on the phone, can I call you? |
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Yes, call anytime, toll-free at
877-248-7455. If I don't pick-up please leave a message and I'll call you
back. From outside of the US, call 408-375-9890. We are
located in San Jose, California. |
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6. |
I've seen some
negative press by one of your competitors, what is your rebuttal? |
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Please read
rebuttal to takedown #8 condor options by monthly cash thru options. |
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7. |
Does MCTO auto-trade with OptionsXpress or other on-line
brokers? |
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We offer auto trading
through OptionsXpress, TradeKing, thinkorswim, eOption and AOS. For more information on our auto-trading program please
go to AutoTradeProgram. |
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8. |
What underlying
index do you use in the auto-trade accounts? |
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We primarily trade the SPY
and IWM in the auto-trade
accounts since the brokers require that we keep all of our trades in
a single account. The SPY is an ETF that tracks at 1/10th of the S&P
500 index - SPX; and the IWM is an ETF that tracks at 1/10th of the
value of the Russell 2000 index - RUT. Because options on the SPY and
IWM are available in 1 point increments, it's possible to still be nimble
and "click-up" and "click-down" our strike prices during the month, if
required as the underlying index moves, and still keep all of our trades in
a single account. |
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9. |
Do you send out a
monthly auto-trade report to the auto-trade subscribers? |
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Yes, we send out a
monthly report to all auto-trade subscribers. To see an example report
please go to AutotradeReport. |
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10. |
What's better 90% probability iron condors like what Monthly
Cash Thru Options uses, or 70% probability
iron condors that some other newsletters use? |
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Please go to
90percentVs70percent. |
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11. |
What if the market crashes, how do we protect ourselves? |
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We take a two pronged approach to manage our
downside risk. First we actively monitor macro-level economic and investor
sentiment indicators allowing us to make better decisions when to get off of
margin, reduce our bull put exposure, or to completely avoid opening new bull
put spreads during uncertain times, substantially reducing our downside risk.
For more on what indicators we monitor and our approach please go to
Why Market Timing is Important.
Secondly, if the underlying index moves quickly, we proactively make adjustments
to our trades to reduce our risk and our possible loss. Please visit the
Learning Center and read the case
study entitled "what if the market drops unexpectedly, how do we protect
ourselves?". |
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12. |
What happens if the market surges unexpectedly,
and how
do we protect ourselves? |
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Please visit the
Learning Center and read the case
study entitled "what if the market surges unexpectedly, how do we protect
ourselves?". |
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13. |
Can you recommend a broker who will allow
credit spreads options in an
IRA? |
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OptionsXpress allows
spreads to be traded in IRAs and is always a good choice. Many
other brokers could work, but we don't have much experience with the other
brokers and how they handle IRA accounts. Because IRAs are cash accounts and you're
not allowed to add additional funds to the account, it's recommended to trade no
more than 70% of your account and leave the remaining 30% as cash reserves.
We recommend to hold this level of reserve cash just in case the market begins
to surge or drop unexpectedly, forcing us to make adjustments for that month. For
more information on why we need to hold cash reserves, please visit the
Learning
Center and read the entry entitled "what if the market surges unexpectedly, how
do we protect ourselves?". |
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14. |
When is the best time of the day to place trades? |
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Anytime during the trading day works. However,
there is more uncertainty about which way the market will move first thing in the
morning, so we can usually get higher premiums for the credit spreads that we
open
within the first hour of trade. |
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15. |
When are the advisories usually sent out via email? |
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We send out an advisory via email every Sunday evening, and
we send additional advisories anytime throughout the week as required.
When an advisory is emailed out, we also immediately update the advisory archive
that can be reached through the Member Login
link.
You will need your login and password to access the Advisory Archive. |
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16. |
When is the best time to join? |
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Any time is the right time. If you're already an
options trader and can be ready to place credit spreads when we recommend them,
starting at the middle of the month is a good time because this is when we're
usually placing new trades for the following month.
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17. |
What kind of brokerage account do I need? |
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You need to have a brokerage account that allows you to trade
options in the form of credit spreads and iron condors. OptionsXpress is a
good choice and you will need Level 4 trading privileges in order to trade index
credit spreads.
For more on this, please read Getting Started. Also make sure that your broker can execute 4 legged condor
trades. We need this capability when doing adjustments, and
we've noticed that some of the low cost on-line brokers that specialize in Options do not
offer this capability. If the broker you are considering does not offer this capability, it's strongly recommended not to
use this broker and find one that does.
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18. |
Can I reinvest my profits each month? |
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This is a decision that only you can make. The traders
at MCTO do reinvest most of our profits each month. |
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19. |
How much money do I need? |
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You can start with as little as $1,000
and then slowly increase the size of your options brokerage account as you become
more comfortable with writing Index credit spreads and iron condors. $1000
will allow you to trade 1 contract, which is enough to get started.
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20. |
How long is the average holding period? |
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Most of our recommended index credit spreads
and iron condors last from 20 to 45 trading days. Some trades could be as
short as 10 days. When we have high volatility in the markets, most of our
trades are 30 days or less in duration, which was the case for most of 2008 and
2009. |
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21. |
How many recommendations are given each month? |
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Typically 2 to 4 trade recommendations per month on one to
two indexes. We tend to place trades on the SPY (an ETF that tracks the
S&P500 index), MID (S&P400 Mid-Cap Index) and the RUT (Russell 2000 small cap
index). Many times we will only place trades on a single index for the
month, and the RUT is our favorite index to trade.
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22. |
How are the gains taxed on this strategy of writing credit
spreads and iron condors on the MID and RUT indexes? |
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Because the MID (S&P 400 Mid Cap
Index) and the RUT (Russell 2000 small cap index) are classified as cash
settled, broad market indexes options that are traded on these indexes are taxed per the IRS Section 1256 contracts 60/40 rule. Per the 60/40
rule, sixty percent of the gains are taxed as long-term capital gains
which is currently at 15%, and 40% of the gains are taxed as standard earned
income. By placing option trades on cash settled, broad market
indexes we get generous tax benefits. For more information, do a Google
search on "IRS section 1256 tax 60/40 rule" and you will find more information
on this topic. Here also is a link to the IRS tax form 6781:
http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/f6781.pdf; Here is another link
to a software company that automates the generation of tax forms and they seem
have a lot of information on this topic:
http://www.armencomp.com/options-capital-gains.html#index. Please make sure to talk to a tax professional for all up to date
information on this topic; we are not licensed tax professionals and we are not
authorized to give tax advice.
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23. |
Of the trades that you recommend what % are credit spreads
and what % are complete iron condors? |
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We try to complete the iron condor
for all of our credit spreads each month because we can maximize our return on
investment. However, sometimes we won't like
the technicals of the stock market and the underlying index that we're trading,
so we will recommend not to complete the iron condor. |
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24. |
How do broad-based indexes like the
SPX, MID and RUT settle and expire? |
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The MID,
SPX and RUT indexes
are classified as broad-based, cash settled indexes, and option
contracts on these indexes are classified as
European style and AM settled. The RUT is the symbol for the Russell 2000
small-cap index, the MID is the symbol for
the S&P400 mid-cap index, and the SPX is the symbol for the S&P 500
index. Broad-based means that the index comprises 100s or even thousands of
stocks. The RUT index comprises 2000 small-cap stocks, the MID
index comprises 400 mid-cap stocks, and the SPX index comprises 500
large-cap stocks. Cash-settled means that when an option contract on the index
settles in-the-money (ITM), cash will be withdrawn from your account. European-style means that option contracts on these indexes cease to trade on the 3rd
Thursday of each month, and they can only be exercised on
the last business day prior to expiration, which is the 3rd
Friday of each month. AM settled means that the index's final price will
be calculated on the 3rd Friday of each month in the morning. The
settlement price is calculated by recording the first opening sale price
for each stock in the index, and then using these prices to calculate
the settlement price. The settlement
price is the final price of the index that is used to determine if
option contracts on the index closed in-the-money or out-of-the-money. One
can find the settlement prices at
http://www.cboe.com/data/settlement.aspx. The settlement
symbol for the RUT is RLS, the settlement symbol for the MID
is MIV, and the settlement symbol for the SPX is SET. |
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25. |
How can the settlement price come in so much higher or lower than the
index's high or low of the day? |
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Using the SPX as an
example, the
Friday
settlement process takes the first opening tick from each of the 500
stocks that compose the S&P500 index, and because not all of the stocks
open at the same time in the morning when the trading floor first opens,
the settlement number can come in much higher (or lower) than the high
of the day (or low of the day). For example, if the Asia market is UP
and the futures market is pointing up, a bunch of buy orders start to
build up in the queue, and when trading on each stock finally opens
in the morning, the first tick is usually abnormally high since there
could be dozens of buy orders waiting to be processed; thus, this spiked “first tick” for each stock is what is used to calculate
the settlement number, and when all of the first ticks are added and
averaged to calculate the SPX settlement value, it can come in much
higher than the index's high of the day. The symbol for the SPX
settlement value is SET and can be found at
http://www.cboe.com/data/settlement.aspx |
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26. |
Why do I need multiple accounts
when trading the RUT? (not applicable for auto-trade accounts) |
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Here is an example of why we need multiple accounts when
trading the Russell 2000 index - the RUT in the self-managed accounts. Let's
say we have a RUT 620/630 Bull Put Spread, and the RUT starts to
sell-off putting our credit spread under pressure. One adjustment
strategy that we might employ in this situation is to "stay ahead of the
wave" and to "click down" a strike and open some new
610/620 bull put spreads to bring in more premium. (For more on the
"stay ahead of the wave strategy", please visit the Learning Center and read
the entry entitled "What if the market surges unexpectedly, how do we
protect ourselves?") In parallel, we will continue to watch the
original 620/630 bull put spread and we'll close it out if the RUT index
continues to drop. (Note: We only employ the "stay ahead of the wave"
strategy if our macro-level, big picture indicators tell us that the economy
and the market is "healthy"; for more on the big-picture indicators that we
monitor please go to Macro level economic
indicators) The problem that we run into is if we
decide to "click down" and open the new 610/620 bull put spread, the 620 leg
in our new spread overlaps with the 620 leg in our existing 620/630 spread
and the 620s will cancel each other out; as a result, we'll end up
with a 610/630 bull put spread which is now a 20 point spread and not a 10
point spread. (A 610/620 bull put spread is a 10 point spread because
there are 10 points between the 610 buy leg and the 620 sell leg) Having
a 20 point spread is ok if one ends up with one. However, a powerful aspect
of credit spreads that allows us to practically double our return is the ability to open
both a "top" bear call spread and a "bottom" bull put spread to create
the
iron condor; and when we're able to open the
iron condor, we only
have to hold maintenance for one of the spreads, not both of them.
(One 10 point credit spread requires $1,000 of maintenance, which is held by
the broker; an iron condor that comprises both a 10 point bull put spread and a
10 point bear call spread also requires $1000 in maintenance, giving us the
opportunity to double our return if both spreads expire out-of-the-money)
But in order for the broker's computer to recognize that our spreads make-up
an iron condor, both the top spread and bottom spread have to have the
same point spread...for example 10 points. If they don't have the same
point spread, the broker's computer will recognize each spread as
an independent spread and the broker will require $2000 in maintenance instead of
$1000. Thus, by doing our best to keep all of our spreads 10 points
wide, this gives us the best chance of completing our iron condors.
And in order to keep all of our spreads 10 points wide as we are "clicking
up" and "clicking down" our strike prices, we use two accounts so none of
our trades overlap in the same account. |
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27. |
I see that you
trade both the RUT and the SPY, should I trade both indexes? |
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By opening credit spreads on both the
SPY and the RUT, one can add a slight amount of diversification to their
credit spread portfolio. There is a
small amount of diversification in trading both because the big caps move a
little differently than the small caps. However, when you open trades on
both indexes you add complexity and additional work, so you have to ask yourself
if the slight amount of diversification is worth it. In general, we subscribe to
the notion that the best way to make consistent money in index credit spreads is
to focus on a single underlying index. For traders that are just
starting out we recommend to stick with the RUT.
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28. |
How much reserve cash do I need in order to help me get
through
the 1 or 2 difficult months each year when we are forced to adjust our trades? |
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Usually 25% reserve cash will suffice, but the more the
better. A good source of reserve cash is a home equity line of credit where you link
your line of credit to your checking account and you link your checking account
to your brokerage account. This will give you enough reserve cash to make
adjustments during the 1 or 2 difficult months each year where we'll need to
make adjustments. For more on this, please visit our
Learning Center and
read the entry entitled "what if the market unexpectedly surges, how do we
protect ourselves?"
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29. |
How much time each day would I need to monitor my trades? |
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About 10 minutes per day, just to see how the market is
doing. Because the "safe zone" for each typical index credit
spread is so wide, we
usually have plenty of time to watch the indexes to make sure they are not
getting too close to our short put and call positions.
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30. |
Where can I go to see all current & past advisories? |
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We send out 1 to
2 advisories per week via email. When we send out an advisory, we also
immediately post it to our advisory archive that can be found by clicking on the
Members Only link on the MCTO home page.
You will need your login and password to gain access to the advisory archive.
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31. |
When should I do my research and prepare to make a trade? |
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We usually recommend for our subscribers to do their research
when the markets are closed. One to two hours per week is usually
sufficient to read the MCTO advisories, study and digest them, and then to make
trades when the markets are open.
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32. |
Do you tell us when to exit a trade?
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Yes, we will
communicate how to handle a trade whether we hold it and let it expire, or close
it early before expiration. Many times we will let our credit spreads and iron condors expire worthless, which means that the trades
were 100% profitable for us, the seller - representing a 6% to 10% return for the month.
Sometimes we'll close-out our spreads early just before expiration to minimize
our risk during the settlement process and to lock-in our profits. For the handful of difficult months each
year when we will not be 100% profitable, we will most likely be sending out
advisories every few days providing detailed instructions on how to maneuver
and make adjustments to protect our trading capital from a surging or declining market.
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33. |
Would MCTO ever trade credit spreads on stocks? |
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No. All of our option trades comprise credit spreads & iron
condors on the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT), the S&P400 Mid-Cap Index (MID), and the
S&P 500 Large Cap ETF (SPY). This strategy
has proven over the years to generate a 45% to 65% annual return requiring only
1 to 2 hours per week of effort, and having less stress. We
personally spent a year following a newsletter that traded credit spreads on
stocks and we decided that we did not like it because our trades were at the
mercy of company specific news. For example, the CEO steps down
unannounced, the CFO is suddenly accused of cooking the books, an executive at
the company unexpectedly makes a remark to the press that revenues are slowing down,
or an analyst downgrades a different company but one in same industry; any one
of these events can suddenly turn $100 of collected premium into a $900 loss. The strike prices also
need to be set very tight around the underlying stock in order to bring in a
reasonable level of premium, making it very stressful. It seemed that just
about every day we had one of our credit spreads on the dreaded "watch list".
After this experience, we decided that the credit spread strategy is best done on indexes that
comprise hundreds if not thousands of stocks, eliminating
company specific risk.
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34. |
Does MCTO employ other options strategies
in addition to credit spreads? |
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Yes. But the longer answer
is that the MCTO
Advisory Service primarily focuses on writing Credit Spreads and Iron
Condors on the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index (RUT), the S&P400 Mid-Cap
Index (MID), and the S&P500 Large-Cap ETF (SPY).
We focus on this non-directional, income generating strategy because it works
day-in an day-out, requires only a few hours of work per week, and it returns 6%
to 10% per month. For more on our returns please visit the
ROI Returns Page. However, we also
periodically recommend "bonus" directional trades like calls, puts, debit
spreads and butterflies to hedge our income generating credit spread strategy,
or to take advantage of macro level cycles of the market.
For example, after the crash of October 2008 most stocks
were down 35% to 50% - and the sell-off happened in less than 15 trading days.
Because we only experience a crash like this every 7 to 10 years, we did
recommend many long-term, 12 month, straight calls and bull call spreads on high
quality companies that were beginning to break-out and show strength. With this
said, we only entertain directional trades when we see extreme highs or lows in
a stock or index, and then we would watch the technical behavior of the stock or
index for many weeks if not months, waiting for certain technical triggers to
hit before opening any type of directional trade. In general, it's hard to
make a living trading directionally, and that's why we spend most of our time
trading non-directional credit spreads.
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35. |
Are your returns based on hypothetical trades or based on
actual trades?
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Our published
ROI
Track Record is real and is based on our recommended
trades. The MCTO team trades at least 65% of our own portfolio using the
same recommendations that we offer through this advisory service.
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36. |
Do you trade your own suggestions?
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Yes, we personally trade everything we recommend and our trading activity in our personal accounts represents a large % of our personal
income. We generally
trade 65% of our own portfolio with non-directional credit spreads and iron
condors that we recommend through our service, we keep 20% of our portfolio as
cash reserves, and we trade 15% of our money in directional plays, where some of
these are included in our service. For more on why we keep 20% of our
portfolio in reserve cash, please visit the Learning Center and read the entry
"what if the market surges unexpectedly, how do we protect ourselves?".
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37. |
Do you employ stop loss orders?
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Not for this strategy of writing far out-of-the-money index
credit spreads and iron condors. Because we open each credit spread far
out-of-the-money with a very large "safe zone", we usually have plenty of time
to monitor our short positions and make adjustments when necessary. For
the Bull Put Spread that has down-side risk when the market corrects, we
open our trades below the 200 day moving average which protects us from most
market corrections. For an unusually strong market correction where our
underlying index carves down past the 200 day moving average and our short Put
positions go in-the-money (ITM), we employ adjustment strategies that give us an
excellent chance to make back any dollars that we might lose. In order to
ensure the highest probability that we can make back any money that is lost in a
sharp correction, we actually
don't want a stop loss in place; the reason is that we will need to be
able to simultaneously close-out our Bull Put Spread and immediately roll-out or
down
and open a new Bull Put Spread. The MCTO team has
been trading this strategy for many years and have come to the conclusion that
stop losses actually work against us when writing far out-of-the-money credit
spreads; therefore, we don't employ them. In contrast, for most
directional options strategies, stop losses are absolutely required to protect
our trading capital.
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38. |
What market conditions are best for
credit spreads & iron condors?
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The non-directional, income
generating index credit spread and iron condor strategy works well in
moderately bullish and bearish markets, and sideways markets. If
the market surges or drops hard, (more than 10% in 30 days or less) this is not good for this strategy and we
will need to make trade adjustments to preserve our trading capital.
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39. |
Do I need to be at my computer when the markets open, or can I
place most trades the night before?
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We recommend to place your trades when the
market is open. This will allow you to ascertain the bid & ask prices and
allow you to place an order that will give you the best price, if filled.
It usually takes anywhere from 1 to 5 minutes to get filled, depending on how good of a
price you are asking for.
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40. |
How are memberships canceled?
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Memberships are canceled by emailing your request to
support@monthlycashthruoptions.com. A notification will be sent to you within 24 hours to confirm
your cancelation. You may cancel the service at anytime.
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41. |
How much does the service cost?
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The Monthly Cash
Thru Options advisory newsletter service costs $85/month for self-managed
accounts and $115/month for auto-trade. This amount is charged monthly
to your credit card. For more information on auto-trading please go to
autotrade. You may upgrade, downgrade
or cancel your service at any
time.
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42. |
How do you calculate the
return-on-investment (ROI) shown in the ROI
Track Record Page? |
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The ROI Track
Record Page shows the results that the Monthly Cash Thru Options (MCTO) team
personally achieves in their own trading accounts where we exactly follow the MCTO advisories. When
we recommend trades on multiple underlying indexes, such as the RUT and SPY, we equally allocate our trading
capital to each underlying index. Below is an example of our ROI Track
Record Page.
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Sep-07 |
RUT |
670/680 Bull PS |
8/22 to 9/7 |
.50 to .85 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
RUT |
860/870 Bear CS |
8/22 to 9/4 |
.45 to .55 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
RUT |
870/880 Bear CS |
8/22 |
.45 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
SPX |
1560/1575 Bear CS |
9/4 |
.70 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
SPX |
1550/1565 Bear CS |
9/9 to 9/13 |
.55 to .75 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
SPX |
1540/1555 Bear CS |
9/11 to 9/14 |
.40 to .60 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
SPX |
1320/1335 Bull PS |
9/10 |
.65 |
expired profitable |
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Sep-07 |
SPX |
1315/1330 Bull PS |
9/7 |
.60 |
expired profitable |
9.50% |
$4,750 |
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In this example, let's say the MCTO team
allocated $200k to index credit spreads/iron condors for this particular month.
We then allocated $100k to the RUT trades and $100k to the SPY trades. To
interpret the chart above, and using the first two lines as an example, between
Aug 22 and Sep 7, we were able to fill the RUT 670/680 Bull Put Spread for
between 50 cents and 85 cents credit. And about in the same time frame, we
were able to fill the RUT 860/870 Bear Call Spread, creating the iron condor,
for between 45 and 55 cents credit. Moving over to the next column, we see
that for this particular month both underlying indexes, the RUT and SPX, each
expired inside their respective "safe zones" and all of our iron condors expired
worthless for the buyers and 100% profitable for us, the sellers. (meaning
we kept 100% of the premium that we collected) When calculating the
returns, we first add up the total number of iron condors that we opened.
In this example, the MCTO team was able to "put to work" all of our $200k where
we opened 111 RUT iron condors (iron
condors on the RUT comprise two, 10 point
credit spreads; maintenance for a
single RUT iron condor is $1000 less approximately $100 of premium collected;
risk capital was then $900/iron condor; total risk capital was 111*900=$99.9k).
We also opened 72 SPX iron condors (iron condors on the SPX comprise two, 15
point credit spreads spreads; maintenance for a single SPX iron condor is $1500
less approximately $120 of premium collected; risk capital was then $1380/iron
condor; total risk capital was 72*1380=$99.3k) Our grand total risk
capital was $200k. Next, we add up the total premium (credit) that
we collected when we first opened all of our iron condors. For the
RUT, we opened 111 iron condors x $100 of premium/iron condor = $11,100.
For the SPX, we opened 72 iron condors x $120 of premium/iron condor = $8640.
Total collected premium was $19,740. We then subtract out commissions
where the MCTO team pays 90 cents/contract, $1.80/spread or $3.60/iron condor.
Our total commission to open our iron condors was (72+111)*3.60 = $658.
Total premium collected less commissions is 19,740 - 658 = $19,082.
Total return in about 30 days was total premium collected less commissions
divided by total risk capital = 19,082/200,000 = 9.5%. Recommendations on
exactly what days to open the spreads and
what % of one's trading capital to use on a single day is usually not included
in the advisories because this is not an exact science. Therefore, the ROI results will vary approximately +/- 2%
from subscriber to subscriber because each subscriber has leeway on exactly when
to open their spreads, resulting in slightly different fill prices, and the % of
their total funds that they use in a single day.
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43. |
How many
underlying indexes should I trade credit spreads on and how should I allocate my
capital if I trade more than one?
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For options traders that are just starting out,
we would recommend to trade credit spreads on a single underlying index and focus on
this index for 9 months to a year. Our favorite index is the RUT and we
would recommend to start with this one. One of the keys to making consistent
money with credit spreads and iron condors is to focus on a single
underlying index and get really good at understanding and predicting how it moves from day to day.
For traders that are ready and/or desire to trade credit spreads on two
underlying indexes, where the MCTO advisories usually recommend trades on the
RUT and SPY, we would recommend to split the trading capital 50/50
because the risk/reward/probability profile of the trades on both the RUT and
SPY are very similar. And per the "diversification" argument, if one
trades on both indexes, this does provide a small amount of diversification
since the small cap (RUT) and large cap (SPY) indexes are not 100% correlated to
each other, and they do move at different rates of velocity as compared to the
overall market.
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44. |
What % of my portfolio could I
allocate to 90% probability credit spreads & iron condors?
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Once you gain sufficient experience and knowledge in trading
index credit spreads and iron condors, you could allocate up to 75% of your
entire portfolio into this strategy, keeping 25% as reserve cash. In order
to get to this point, one would usually need to build up about 1 to 2 years
of experience and have spent sufficient time studying the materials and case
studies in our Learning Center to have a thorough understanding of the
risk/reward/probability nature of credit
spreads. For us personally, we generally
trade 65% of our own portfolio with non-directional credit spreads and iron
condors that we recommend through our service, we keep 20% of our portfolio as
cash reserves, and we trade 15% of our money in directional plays, where some of
these are included in our service as bonus trades. For more on why we keep 20% of our
portfolio in reserve cash, please visit the Learning Center and read the entry
"what if the market surges unexpectedly, how do we protect ourselves?".
The reason that we feel comfortable in allocating such a large % of our
portfolio into just a handful of credit spreads is that...1) we are placing
our trades on indexes that eliminate company specific risk because they comprise
of 100s or even 1000s of stocks; 2) We focus on
90% probability credit spreads and
iron condors giving us a very wide "safe zone" and plenty of time to react if
necessary and make adjustments on our trades if the underlying index starts to
suddenly surge or drop; 3) We have many years of experience trading credit
spreads and iron condors and we know how to watch the earnings calendar,
economic announcement calendar, other key announcements by the Federal Reserve &
Treasury Dept., big picture market sentiment indicators and shorter term
technical indicators on the broad indexes telling us when it's the best time to
enter trades and close out trades; and 4) We have many years of experience
where we know how to manage our risk through various
adjustment strategies, thus giving us confidence to put a
large % of our portfolio behind just a few trades.
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45. |
What % of my trading capital should I use in a
single day?
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Let's first discuss the difference between
"% of portfolio allocation" versus "% of cash used in a single
day". Percent of portfolio allocation is the % of ones entire
investment portfolio that is
allocated to index credit spreads. For investors that have 1.5 to 2 years of experience in trading
credit spreads, they could allocate up to 75% of their investment portfolio to 90% probability credit spreads,
which is what we focus on, leaving 25% as cash. For investors that are just getting started, we would recommend to start small, starting with as little as $1000 and preferably no more than $5000 allowing the
investor to open 1 to 5 iron condors, and then slowly growing their account over
time as they gain experience.
Once the trader has decided what % of his or her total
investment portfolio to allocate to
index credit spreads, we then need to discuss the % of trading capital that
should be used in a single day when our recommended spreads are filling within
the recommended credit range. For example, let's say a trader has
allocated $20k of their portfolio to credit spreads, where he or she also has
access to $5k in reserve cash just in case we need to make adjustments. The
MCTO team then sends out the first advisory for the May cycle, usually 30 to 45
days out to expiration, recommending a single bear call credit spread.
This is just a starting point, and our ultimate goal is to open the entire iron
condor. A typical recommendation might look like the following:
RUT Bear Call Spread
Buy to open RUT May 560 call
Sell to open RUT May 550 call - For a credit of 40 to 65 cents. If this
spread starts to fill for more than 65 cents credit, suspend any
further fills on it and click-up a strike to keep your credit
between 40 to 65 cents.
When the market is having an UP day,
there is a good chance that this spread will fill for at least 40
cents credit. When the market is having a DOWN day, most
likely this credit spread will not fill for the minimum of 40 cents,
so we just wait until the market has an UP day before trying to fill
it again. When this recommended credit spread is filling
for at least 40 cents credit, we would recommend for the trader to
slowly "collect" premium and maybe use 15% to 20% of their trading
capital on that day. We then pause and wait for the next UP day where this
spread is again filling for at least 40 cents, and preferably for
more, up to 65 cents and we'll use up maybe another 20% of our cash. If the market continues to climb, and if
this spread is now filling for 68 cents, for example, we would
suspend fills on this spread, per the directions in the advisory
above, and we would "click-up" to the RUT May
560/570 bear call spread and repeat the process of "collecting"
premium on the days where it's filling for at least 40 cents, but no
more than 65 cents. Patience is of the essence here
where we might have to wait 2, 3, 4 or more trading days before
we're able to fill this spread again to use-up another 20% of our
trading capital. If all goes well, the market will continue to
climb allowing us to "put to work" all of our trading capital before
it stalls and changes direction.
Let's say that our strategy is working out as planned
and the rally runs out of steam just as we finished opening our
"quota" of top bear call spreads and we now start seeing
more DOWN days in
the market. The MCTO team is closely watching the
technical indicators and the economic calendar, and when the time
is right we would send out an
advisory recommending to "switch gears" and start opening our
bottom RUT May bull put spreads to
complete the iron condor. And even though these newly recommended RUT May bull put
spreads are "attached" to the RUT May bear call spreads creating
iron condors, thus not requiring any additional maintenance, we
still must handle the new bull put spread as a separate trade making
sure that we enter the trade at the correct time and select the correct strike prices minimizing the chance
that they will get "hit" and go ITM. So
assuming that the rally runs out of steam and our underlying index
is starting to roll-over and pull back, we would send out an
advisory that would look something like the following:
Sell to open May 390 put
Buy to open May 380 put
For a credit of 60 to 85 cents - if this spread starts to fill for more than 85 cents credit,
suspend any further fills on it and click-down a strike to keep
your credit between 60 to 85 cents.
Repeating what we did above, but moving a little
faster since we're running out of time, when the market is having a
DOWN day we would use maybe 25%
to 30% of our "allocation" on the days that it's
filling for between 60 and 85 cents credit. (Because we
already spent maybe 2 to 3 weeks watching the market rally and taking
advantage of the rally by opening our top bear call spreads, we only have
maybe two weeks left to open our bottom bull put spreads so we do
need to jump in faster on these) When we say
"allocation", we mean the following: Let's say we
opened 20 RUT May bear call spreads using-up the $20k that we
allocated to index credit spreads for the month. We now can
open 20 RUT May bull put spreads "for free", since these
will complete 20 iron condors and will not require any additional
maintenance. So initially, we have an allocation of 20 bull put
spreads to fill that will not require any additional maintenance.
Once we fill the 20 bull put spreads, any additional RUT May bull
put spreads that we open will require additional maintenance of
$1000/spread.
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46. |
Can I access the MCTO Website using the Firefox Browser?
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The MCTO website uses
Java Scripts, and some older versions of certain browsers do not support
scripting. The MCTO website is fully compliant with Microsoft
Internet Explorer, and Firefox version 2.0.0.4 or newer.
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47. |
I still have a question not found on this page.
What should I do?
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If you have unanswered questions or
would like clarification on any of the materials on this web site, please email
us at
support@monthlycashthruoptions.com.
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