Answer:  Options on the RUT trade European style where they cease to trade on Thursday, in the week of expiration, and then the RUT settles on Friday.   For more on how European style options settle and expire please visit the FAQ Page at http://www.monthlycashthruoptions.com/FAQ.htm  and read entries #24 and #25.   If the underlying RUT index gets too close to our short Call on Thursday, in the week of expiration, we need to be careful since we don’t have any control over what value the RUT will settle at on Friday.  So we need to make sure that the RUT index stays a certain number points away from our short Call on Thursday, and if not we need to close it early to avoid settlement risk.   In this situation where we have the RUT Feb 840/850 bear call spread, the settlement value, RLS, needs to settle at 840 or less for us to keep 100% of the premium that we collected when we first opened the spread.

Answer:   It depends on how much cash you plan to invest in credit spreads for the month.   It’s good not to put all of your eggs in one basket, so it’s probably not wise to invest more than 50% of your portfolio in a single, non-directional strategy such as credit spreads.  Let’s say you have a $100k portfolio and decide to allocate 45% of your portfolio to credit spreads for the next 30 days.  In this case you would open qty 45 of the RUT bull put spreads.   If you want to further diversify, which would be good idea, you would open a mix of RUT, OEX and SPY spreads, the underlying vehicles that we primarily focus on in the monthlycashthruoptions advisory service,  using the $45k.  Each RUT spread, which is a 10 point spread because we open RUT spreads with 10 points between the sell leg and buy leg, requires $1000 of maintenance to open 1 spread.  Each OEX spread, which is a 5 point spread because we open OEX spreads that have 5 points between the sell leg and buy leg, requires $500 of maintenance to open 1 spread.  Each SPY spread, which is a 2 point spread because we open SPY spreads that have 2 points between the sell leg and buy leg, requires $200 of maintenance to open 1 spread.   Back to our $45k, we would allocate $15k to the RUT spreads, $15k to the OEX spreads and $15k to the SPY spreads.   Thus, we would open 15 of the RUT spreads, 30 of the OEX spreads, and 75 of the SPY spreads.   One negative of opening 2 point wide spreads is that we open many more spreads for a given dollar amount, so commissions become a problem.  Thus, we do our best to open more 10 point wide spreads, and fewer 2 point wide spreads.

Answer:   The RUT provides the best strike price placement, usually above past resistance levels and below past support levels, while paying a nice premium when opening a bear call or bull put credit spread options.  It also has good liquidity, i.e. a high number of options contracts are traded daily on the RUT, which allows us to easily get into and out of our trades. 

The next best underlying index to trade credit spread and iron condor options is the SPY, (and ETF that tracks at 1/10th of the value of the  S&P 500 index – SPX) but in order to get the best return we need to open 2 point wide spreads, which has a drawback.  (a 2 point wide spread has two points between the leg that we sell and the leg that we buy)  The negative of a 2 point wide spread, as compared to a 10 point wide spread that we would open on the RUT, is that we have to open 5x the number of spreads to allocate the same amount of cash and this has higher commissions.  Also, the liquidity is very high on the SPY….i.e. a million or more options contracts change hands every day – and this is both good and bad.   The good part is that we can easily get in and out of trades….even during volatile times when the market is moving a lot.   The bad is that when the market is bouncing…and let’s say we need to make an adjustment or roll the spread, because there is so much liquidity we have to pay what the market is asking (between the bid and ask prices)  and we rarely can get a special low price that is outside the bidask price range.   On the other hand, if the market is moving a lot and we need to make an adjustment on the RUT, many times we’ll be able to get a cheap price that is outside of the bid/ask prices.

For a case study that compares and contrasts 2, 3, 4, 5 , 7 and 10 point wide credit spreads on the SPY please go to the Learning Center at http://www.monthlycashthruoptions.com/LearningCenter.htm  and read entry #6 – “why we usually open 2 and 3 point wide spreads on the SPY and IWM”.  

Regarding the SPX, you have to be super careful in trading credit spreads and iron condors on this underlying index.  I liken it to Hotel California….it’s really easy and everyone is friendly when you check in, but when things get ugly and you need to get out of your trade, you’ll usually get your head handed to you. (i.e. it will cost a lot to close out your spread and you’ll probably take at least a 25% loss)    Overall, do your best to avoid trading credit spreads on the SPX.

Answer:  I’m not sure I agree that Iron condors are good for uptrending markets.  Iron condors have both a short put and a short call and we want the underlying stock or index to stay above the short Put and below the short Call through expiration.   In general, with the 90% probability type of credit spreads that we open, we can handle the underlying index moving around 9%, but that’s about it….so it could be trending UP or DOWN, up to 9%,  but after this we’ll have to make an adjustment.

Right now, we’re not feeling comfortable in opening the June bear call spread since the market recently corrected 15% and it could rally hard if some good news comes in.  We just don’t know, but when a market pulls back so hard, it could also rally hard.  This is where I’m using more of the volume based indicators to help me gauge the prevailing trend and to predict trend reversals.  I’m feeling more comfortable in opening the June bull put spreads right now on the Russell 2000 index, RUT, as long as they are down several strike prices below the 200 day SMA and below the Feb low.

Answering your questions specifically, when sentiment/fear makes a market correct, like it just did where it recently pulled-back 15%, this is when we make some of our best returns;  and we primarily focus on one side, the bottom bull put spread.  If the volume based indicators continue to show choppiness over the next week, where it’s not showing a “go long” signal, we might consider opening the top spread….but not sure yet.

Answer:   In a very rare occasion that we get stuck with ITM credit spreads, we will usually roll them and keep them alive….and eventually get 50% to 70% of our money back.   Unfortunately, and fortunately, I’ve become an expert on rolling because some of my spreads went ITM during the Oct 2008 crash, and after rolling them I got back 65% of my maintenance.   Not bad for a total melt-down.  (Just as a side note, most credit spread traders, including editor-in–chief’s from other credit spread newsletters don’t have experience in rolling because most just throw in the towel and let their subscribers take a total loss.  I personally hate to lose money and will fight to the end to get back at least some of my money) 

Answering your question specifically, if some of our spreads went ITM and we didn’t want to roll them but just let them expire, the credit spread on the RUT and SPX (classified as broad based indexes) are cash settled, so cash would be withdrawn from our account.   If the spread went completely ITM and we let it expire, we would lose all of our risk capital, which is the required maintenance less the premium collected.

Per options on the SPY and IWM (which are ETFs that track at 1/10^th the value of the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 indexes, respectively) the ETF shares would be PUT to us where we have to buy the shares at the strike price and the shares would be deposited into our account.

Again, in general with this situation, and this is only for the emergency case where the stock market crashes 12% or more in just a few days and we get stuck with ITM bull put spreads, we will roll our spreads month to month and there is a very good chance we’ll get back at least half of our money, and more like 60% to 70%.

Response:   Regarding liquidity.…yes, if too many folks start trading index credit spreads, for example on the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 indexes and ETFs, the risk/reward characteristics of our credit spreads will become less attractive.  So far, however,  there seems to be plenty of  liquidity and the placement of the strike prices are still good.   Luckily, credit spreads are a lot harder than they look, so a certain % of participants get hit every month, scaring them and washing them out..…so it’s my guess that there will be plenty of liquidity for a long time to come.

Answer:   As long as the recommended spread is filling for between 45 and 70 cents, we open the recommended spreads using the price that it’s currently filling at on that particular day, and we use about 20% of the available cash for that day.  We then pause and wait for the next day when it’s filling again betwen 45 and 70 cents.  (i.e. we collect premium over time, which helps reduce risk)    If at any time it starts to fill for 71 cents or more, the spread no longer has a 90% probability of expiring OTM and profitable, but it has an 83% (just a guess…but probably close)  probability of expiring profitable.   Because we have the goal of opening 90% probability credit spread options, we then would move our strike prices away from the underlying index ”one-click” so we can bring the probability back to the 90% level.

Answer:   Yes, you can use our analysis and signals on the RUT (Russell 2000 Index) to trade the IWM (and ETF that tracks at 1/10th the value of the Russell 2000 index – RUT).     Just make sure you select the same short leg.    For example, if we issue a signal to trade the RUT Dec 650/660 bear call spread, you could also trade the IWM Dec 65/67 bear call spread and the risk/reward profile for both trades is very similar.   It’s best to stick with 2 point or 3 point spreads on the IWM.   (i.e. either a 65/67 or 65/68 bear call spread….per this example)    For more on why we use 2 point or 3 point spreads on the ETFs, please go to the Monthly Cash Thru Options Learning Center at  http://www.monthlycashthruoptions.com/LearningCenter.htm   and read the entry  “why we usually open 3 point spreads on the SPY”

Question:  Which one do you prefer to write credit spread and iron condor options against….the SPY or IWM?

Answer:    Both have similar risk/reward profiles.   Sometimes, however, we can get better placement for our strike prices on the IWM, but it does vary from month to month.  That’s why we have to analyze the trades on each underlying ETF each month to see which underlying offers the best placement of our strike prices.

Today is the last day for our November RUT bull put credit spreads where they cease to trade today after the close and they settle tomorrow, Friday.   No action is required, assuming you have the RUT Nov 530/540 bull put spread, or lower.   Let’s let them settle tomorrow and expire worthless.

Per the SPY option trades, they will continue to trade through tomorrow, Friday, and we’ll keep you posted.  So far they are safe and no action is required, assuming you have the SPY Nov 100/102 bull put spread, or lower.

And of course all of our top Nov bear call spreads are safe.  Let’s hold onto everything and let them expire worthless.